Carlsquare weekly market letter: Focus on debt again…

• The market is waiting for the Fed’s decision tomorrow. No one expects any surprises. The focus will be on the Fed’s projections, which may indicate when the Fed will change its policy. However, we believe something must break before the Fed changes course.
• As interest rates have risen from 1% to 4% in just two years, interest payments have skyrocketed for both governments and households.
• The S&P 500 is stuck in a wedge. The breakout will be indicative of the trend to come.
• The chart below shows the Fed’s projections for falling US inflation.

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