Equity research Zinzino: Significant expansion of US business
14 Feb 2025
Zinzino announced on February 14 that its bid for the assets of US direct selling company Zurvita, who has entered Chapter 11, has been accepted. Including the USD 4.5m loan that Zinzino provided to Zurvita by the end of 2024, the purchase price is USD 9.4m, of which USD 2.5m will be paid in newly issued Zinzino shares. In addition, the acquisition includes contingent earn-out payments based on sales performance from 2025 to 2029, with a maximum additional consideration of USD 1.9 million, which will also be fully settled in newly issued Zinzino shares. Notably, the total consideration is lower than initially indicated when Zinzino, in June 2024, signed a letter of intent to acquire Zurvita for USD 16.5m + USD 0.5m in potential earn-outs. Zinzino has a solid financial position and will pay for the cash portion out of its cash reserves.
Zinzino states that Zurvita has annual sales of some USD 30m. At least some part (unknown to us) already consists of the distribution of Zinzino products, e.g., Balance Oils. The acquired assets include the distribution network, inventory, intellectual property rights, and other key assets of Zurvita. Zinzino expects growth and operational efficiency synergies from the acquisition. We believe the company has a strong track record in this regard.
We will likely raise our sales estimates by some 20 per cent for 2025-2026E, depending on the date of completion, on this news and also following the robust sales reported for January 2025. While there will probably be some initial dilution to group margins from Zurvita, we expect to adjust our DCF valuation upwards accordingly. We will return with a full update at the latest following the Q4 2024 report on 27 February.
Read our Q4 2024 preview here.
Read our latest research update here.
Disclaimer
Carlsquare AB, www.carlsquare.se, hereinafter referred to as Carlsquare, is engaged in corporate finance and equity research, publishing information on companies and including analyses. The information has been compiled from sources that Carlsquare deems reliable. However, Carlsquare cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information. Nothing written in the analysis should be considered a recommendation or solicitation to invest in any financial instrument, option, or the like. Opinions and conclusions expressed in the analysis are intended solely for the recipient.
The content may not be copied, reproduced, or distributed to any other person without the written consent of Carlsquare. Carlsquare shall not be liable for either direct or indirect damages caused by decisions made on the basis of information contained in this analysis. Investments in financial instruments offer the potential for appreciation and gains. All such investments are also subject to risks. The risks vary between different types of financial instruments and combinations thereof. Past performance should not be taken as an indication of future returns.
The analysis is not directed at U.S. Persons (as that term is defined in Regulation S under the United States Securities Act and interpreted in the United States Investment Companies Act of 1940), nor may it be disseminated to such persons. The analysis is not directed at natural or legal persons where the distribution of the analysis to such persons would involve or entail a risk of violation of Swedish or foreign laws or regulations.
The analysis is a so-called Assignment Analysis for which the analysed company has signed an agreement with Carlsquare for analysis coverage. The analyses are published on an ongoing basis during the contract period and for the usually fixed fee.
Carlsquare may or may not have a financial interest with respect to the subject matter of this analysis. Carlsquare values the assurance of objectivity and independence and has established procedures for managing conflicts of interest for this purpose.
The analysts Markus Augustsson and Niklas Emhammer do not own and may not own shares in the analysed company.