Equity research Immunovia: New study and FDA choose not to appeal LDT ruling
4 jun 2025
Earlier today, on June 4, Immunovia announced the initiation of a new study with PancreaSure in a group at unusually high risk for pancreatic cancer, together with Leiden University. Furthermore, around two months ago, a federal judge in Texas ruled against the FDA regarding laboratory-developed tests (LDTs). This weekend, the deadline passed for the FDA to appeal the decision, solidifying the ruling.
New study with Leiden University
Immunovia is to carry out a case-controlled study to evaluate the accuracy of the Immunovia test in detecting early-stage pancreatic cancer. The blood samples will be collected from approximately 150 CDKN2A patients in Leiden. This mutation is associated with a highly elevated risk of developing pancreatic cancer. The Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC) works with over 300 patients annually, offering pancreatic cancer surveillance and research. The blood samples used in the study have been collected over several years. If the study demonstrates solid accuracy, the expanded clinical evidence behind PancreaSure should be helpful later when it comes to securing reimbursement for the test. Although the timeline for the study was not communicated, Immunovia reiterates the plan for commercial launch of the PancreaSure test in September of 2025.
FDA chooses not to appeal ruling by Texas judge regarding LDT overview
As we mentioned earlier in our Mrkt BUZZ in April, a federal judge ruled against the FDA regarding LDTs. Specifically, the US district court for the Eastern District of Texas determined that the FDA’s final rule was an overstep of authority. Since then, the FDA has had a 60-day window to appeal the ruling, which expired over the weekend. The choice not to appeal solidifies the status of LDTs as different from medical devices and IVDs. A democratic president in the future might still try to revive the legislation, but for now, with the Trump administration in place, the issue appears settled.
Taken together, , both news items are positive for Immunovia. We believe it is natural to study PancreaSure in smaller high-risk mutation populations to help build evidence of clinical utility. It would have been interesting to learn more about the study with Leiden, but it is possible that more information will be released as the study progresses. As for the ruling in the USA, we still believe Immunovia will pursue FDA approval for reimbursement reasons. However, the new regulatory landscape could provide more flexibility in addressing the US market if needed.
Read our latest research update here.
Disclaimer
Carlsquare AB, www.carlsquare.se, hereinafter referred to as Carlsquare, is engaged in corporate finance and equity research, publishing information on companies and including analyses. The information has been compiled from sources that Carlsquare deems reliable. However, Carlsquare cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information. Nothing written in the analysis should be considered a recommendation or solicitation to invest in any financial instrument, option, or the like. Opinions and conclusions expressed in the analysis are intended solely for the recipient.
The content may not be copied, reproduced, or distributed to any other person without the written consent of Carlsquare. Carlsquare shall not be liable for either direct or indirect damages caused by decisions made on the basis of information contained in this analysis. Investments in financial instruments offer the potential for appreciation and gains. All such investments are also subject to risks. The risks vary between different types of financial instruments and combinations thereof. Past performance should not be taken as an indication of future returns.
The analysis is not directed at U.S. Persons (as that term is defined in Regulation S under the United States Securities Act and interpreted in the United States Investment Companies Act of 1940), nor may it be disseminated to such persons. The analysis is not directed at natural or legal persons where the distribution of the analysis to such persons would involve or entail a risk of violation of Swedish or foreign laws or regulations.
The analysis is a so-called Assignment Analysis for which the analysed company has signed an agreement with Carlsquare for analysis coverage. The analyses are published on an ongoing basis during the contract period and for the usually fixed fee.
Carlsquare may or may not have a financial interest with respect to the subject matter of this analysis. Carlsquare values the assurance of objectivity and independence and has established procedures for managing conflicts of interest for this purpose.
The analysts Niklas Elmhammer and Herman Kuntscher do not own and may not own shares in the analysed company.